Bank of Canada Holds Rate at 2.25% — July 15, 2026

Dean Garrett • July 15, 2026

The Bank of Canada announced today that it is holding its target for the overnight rate at 2.25%, with the Bank Rate at 2.5% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The tone of today's announcement is notably more optimistic than previous months. Here's what's changed and what it means for you.

What the Bank of Canada Said

Signs of Improvement

For the first time in several months, the Bank is signalling that Canada's economy is showing real signs of improvement. Growth is picking up, and inflation is projected to ease gradually from its recent spike. While risks remain, particularly around the Middle East conflict and U.S. trade policy, the overall tone has shifted toward cautious optimism.

The Global Picture

Since the April Monetary Policy Report, global economic prospects have been dampened by higher oil prices from the Middle East conflict. However, the build-out of artificial intelligence is now supporting economic activity in a growing number of countries. Oil prices are still below their April peak, though the situation in the Middle East remains volatile.

The U.S. economy is growing at about 2.5%, driven by strong consumer spending and booming AI investment. China continues to expand on the back of robust exports. Europe has been weighed down by high energy prices but is expected to strengthen in the second half of the year if prices ease as anticipated. The Bank projects global GDP growth will slow to 2.75% in 2026 before recovering to around 3.25% in 2027 and 2028.

The Canadian Economy

Canada's GDP data over the past year has been choppy. Growth stalled as the economy adjusted to new tariffs, high uncertainty, and slower population growth. But there are now clear signs that growth has resumed in the second quarter, estimated at 2.5%. The Bank acknowledges this largely reflects the unwinding of temporary factors, but sources of growth appear to be broadening.

Consumer spending looks solid. Housing activity has been weak but is showing signs of stabilizing. Export growth has resumed and is expected to strengthen. Business investment is projected to pick up modestly, boosted in the near term by the oil and gas sector. More businesses also report they are finding ways to navigate through trade uncertainty.

Following GDP growth of 0.7% in 2026, the Bank projects growth of 1.8% in both 2027 and 2028. The unemployment rate was 6.5% in June, continuing to hover in the 6.5% to 7% range it has maintained since late 2024.

Inflation

CPI inflation rose to 3.2% in May, mainly due to higher gasoline prices linked to the Middle East conflict. Excluding gasoline, inflation was just 2.2%, and core inflation measures remained close to 2%. That is an important distinction: the inflation we are seeing is largely an energy story, not a broad cost-of-living surge.

Near-term inflation expectations remain sensitive to gasoline prices, but longer-term expectations are well anchored. The Bank expects CPI inflation to stay elevated in June before easing gradually in the coming months, returning to around 2% in early 2027. Inflation is then forecast to average around 2% in 2027 and 2028.

Why the Bank Held

Governing Council judged that the current rate of 2.25% remains appropriate to sustain the economic recovery and bring inflation back to target. Uncertainty is still high, and the Bank remains prepared to adjust monetary policy as needed. The commitment to price stability remains firm through this period of global upheaval.

What This Means for Mortgage Holders and Buyers

A rate hold means no immediate change to variable-rate mortgage payments or home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) tied to the prime rate. The prime rate remains at 4.45%.

Today's announcement carries a more positive signal than we have seen in recent months. The economy is recovering, core inflation is near target, and the Bank's language suggests the path forward is one of gradual improvement, not further tightening. For borrowers, this is an encouraging environment to plan ahead.

If you are renewing a mortgage in the coming months, thinking about purchasing, or weighing your fixed vs. variable options, now is a good time to have that conversation. The landscape is shifting, and being prepared puts you in the best possible position.

The next scheduled rate announcement is September 9, 2026 .

As always, every borrower's situation is unique. If you have questions about how today's decision affects your mortgage, reach out. We would love to help you navigate your options.

Information sourced from the Bank of Canada's official press release dated July 15, 2026.

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Dean Garrett

Mortgage Professional

How to Get a Mortgage for a Second Property

By Dean Garrett • July 8, 2026
Thinking About Buying a Second Property? Here’s What to Know Buying a second property is an exciting milestone—but it’s also a big financial decision that deserves thoughtful planning. Whether you're dreaming of a vacation retreat, building a rental portfolio, or looking to support a family member with a place to live, there are plenty of reasons to consider a second home. But before you jump in, it's important to understand the strategy and steps involved. Start with “Why” The best place to begin? Clarify your motivation. Ask yourself: Why do I want to buy a second property? What role will it play in my life or finances? How does this fit into my long-term goals? Whether your focus is lifestyle, income, or legacy planning, knowing your “why” will help you make smarter decisions from the start. Talk to a Mortgage Expert Early Once you’ve nailed down your goals, the next step is to sit down with an independent mortgage professional. Why? Because buying a second property isn't quite the same as buying your first. Even if you’ve qualified before, financing a second home has unique considerations—especially when it comes to down payments, debt ratios, and how lenders assess risk. How Much Do You Need for a Down Payment? Here’s where the purpose of the property really matters: Owner-occupied or family use: You may qualify with as little as 5–10% down, depending on the property and lender. Income property: Expect to put down 20–35%, especially for short-term rentals or if it won’t be occupied by you or a family member. Your down payment amount can be one of the biggest hurdles—but with strategic planning, it’s often manageable. Ways to Fund the Down Payment If you don’t have the full amount in cash, you might be able to tap into your current home’s equity to help fund the purchase. Here are a few ways to do that: ✅ Refinance your existing mortgage to access additional funds ✅ Secure a second mortgage behind your current one ✅ Open a HELOC (Home Equity Line of Credit) ✅ Use a reverse mortgage (in certain age-qualified scenarios) ✅ Take out a new mortgage if your current home is mortgage-free These options depend on your income, credit, home value, and overall financial picture—another reason why having a pro in your corner matters. Second Property Strategy: It’s More Than Just Numbers This purchase should be part of a bigger financial plan—one that balances risk and reward. It’s about: Assessing your full financial health Maximizing your existing assets Minimizing your cost of borrowing Aligning your purchase with your long-term goals Ready to Take the Next Step? There’s no one-size-fits-all answer when it comes to buying a second property. That’s why it helps to talk things through with someone who understands both the big picture and the small details. If you’re ready to explore your options and build a plan to make that second property dream a reality, let’s connect. I’d love to help you take the next step with confidence.

Deposit vs. Down Payment: Key Differences for Homebuyers

By Dean Garrett • July 1, 2026
When you’re buying a home, two terms often cause confusion: deposit and down payment . While they’re related, they serve very different purposes in the homebuying process. Here’s what you need to know. What Is a Deposit? A deposit is the money you provide when you make an offer on a property. Think of it as a show of good faith that proves you’re serious about purchasing. How it works : Typically, you provide a certified cheque or bank draft that your real estate brokerage holds in trust. If your offer is accepted, the deposit remains in trust until the deal moves forward. If negotiations fall through, the deposit is refunded. Connection to your down payment : Once the sale is finalized, your deposit becomes part of your total down payment. Why it matters : The amount is negotiable, but a larger deposit can make your offer more attractive in a competitive market. Keep in mind, however, that if you back out after conditions are removed, you risk losing your deposit. What Is a Down Payment? Your down payment is the amount you contribute toward the purchase price of your home when securing a mortgage. Minimum requirement : In Canada, the minimum down payment is 5% of the home’s purchase price. Anything less than 20% requires mortgage default insurance. Sources : Down payments can come from your savings, the sale of another property, RRSP withdrawals (through the Home Buyers’ Plan), a gift from family, or even borrowed funds. Example: How They Work Together Imagine you’re buying a $400,000 home with a 10% down payment ($40,000). When you make your offer, you provide a $10,000 deposit . Once conditions are met, that deposit is transferred to your lawyer’s trust account. At closing, you add the remaining $30,000 to complete your full down payment. The lender provides the rest—$360,000—through your mortgage. The Bottom Line Your deposit shows commitment and secures your offer, while your down payment is what makes the mortgage possible. Together, they work hand in hand to get you into your new home. 📞 If you’d like clarity on deposits, down payments, or any other part of the mortgage process, let’s connect. I’d be happy to walk you through it step by step.